Good morning bloggers,
From yesterday’s press release “Weather2020 stands by original Super Bowl XLVII Weather Forecast on January 6. As originally forecasted, Weather 2020 expects warmer air to be drawn into the areas of New York City and New Jersey on Saturday, Feb. 1, causing temperatures to surge into the 40s through the morning of Super Bowl Sunday. A cool down is expected before kickoff but chances for snow remain at zero percent.” And, here is an excerpt from the National Weather Service in New York City this morning, “With deep southerly flow ahead of the cold front and the slower timing of the passage will allow for warmer air to move in”. This is why we stand by the statement,”The LRC is the best weather forecasting tool known in the field of meteorology today”. We have “known” that this part of the weather pattern would be cycling through right around Super Bowl Sunday. We made our forecast for this weekend 50 days ago on the Weather 2020 app. We said there may be some rain and a warm up into the 50s and NO SNOW WILL IMPACT THE SUPER BOWL! And, this was very different than the message/forecast that got out to the media from other sources. It may still get into the 50s Sunday ahead of that cold front in East Rutherford!
The same pattern that is producing the forecasted east coast warm-up this weekend is going to bring Kansas City a good chance of accumulating snow. There is a series of storm systems that will begin affecting us soon. If you remember a couple of weeks ago we predicted five storm systems would affect KC between around February 1st and the first five days of March, with the first one arriving between February 1st and 4th. Well, the first two may arrive between now and February 4th. And, do you remember what happened in the last cycle, 57 days before February 1st on December 5th? We had surprise snow showers around 2 to 5 AM, especially between KCI Airport and Liberty with 1.2" of snow reported at KCI. Over an inch from a strange snow shower band. Do you remember this? I do, as you blasted us for missing that forecast. Well, we are in that part of the pattern again, and there may be a little band of snow, or mixed showers today, and then we will begin focusing on a much better chance of accumulating snow later tonight, and especially Friday night.
The National Weather Service issued a Freezing Rain Advisory for this morning for areas north of Kansas City, but I really can’t figure out why. Temperatures are above freezing everywhere and there is just a thin band of mixed showers moving through. And, with the wind blowing so hard there may be some wet surfaces, but no freezing rain. We will monitor it closely.
Kansas City Weather Time-Line:
- Now-Noon: Thickening clouds with a band of light snow, rain, or mixed precipitation developing way up to the north. WINDY! The winds will gust to 40 mph this morning. Temperatures warming to near 40°
- Noon-6 PM: A thin band of showers will move across, but they will not last long. South-southwest winds 15-40 mph switching to the north around 6 or 7 PM. High: 43°
- Tonight: Cloudy with a good chance of light snow north of I-70, and most likely north of KC after around 3 AM. Some minor accumulations of under an inch are possible way up north.
- Friday: A chance of snow, mainly north again. And, a chance of freezing drizzle and sleet farther south. Highs in the 20s with northeast winds 5-15 mph.
- Friday Night: A nearly 100% chance of snow with a dusting to 3 inches possible. There may also be some sleet & freezing drizzle farther south limiting totals. Low: 19°
- Saturday: Snow ending early! High: 26°
- Monday night-Tuesday: A better chance of wide spread snow with accumulations likely!
There has been a blocking ridge in place near or just off the west coast. This has been preventing storm systems from coming into California, but this ridge just broke down for the time being and a storm is moving into California tonight and this is heading towards KC. There will be a tight temperature gradient, or baroclinic zone setting up over Kansas, Oklahoma, and south into the Texas Panhandle. As the west coast system zips our way there may be a wave forming on the baroclinic zone, and this is forecast to happen Friday night:
I will finish the blog around 8 or 9 AM……
As I said, there is a series of storm systems that will be affecting us. The second one in the series will be approaching the region Monday and snow is likely Monday night into Tuesday. We will discuss this second storm in more detail in the next few days.
Have a great day, and thank you so much for sharing in this exciting weather experience.